Rip or Flip
500 Years in the Future Sleeved Booster Pack

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$34.72

MSRP

$4.49

Spread: +$30.23 (673%) above MSRP

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KEEP SEALED500 Years in the Future1 pack

500 Years in the Future Sleeved Booster Pack

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $27.57.

1 packs produce $7.15 of average market value at current prices.

Return vs Market

−79%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $34.72.

Expected Loss

−$27.57

The average opening result after paying $34.72 sealed.

Open Average

$7.15

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$4.58

Expected range $4.96-$9.34 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $7.15

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 7 rarity tiers. Based on 1,000 pack openings.

02

$7.15 × 1 packs = $7.15

This product contains 1 booster pack.

03

$7.15 = $7.15

No promo value applied for this product.

04

$7.15 × 0.64 = $4.58

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $7.15 ÷ $34.72 = 20.6%Cash-out: $4.58 ÷ $34.72 = 13.2%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $7.15 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/1pk% of Total
Manga Rare(MR)1$1722.730.17%$2.93$2.9341.0%
Alternate Art(AA)24$23.788.30%$1.97$1.9727.6%
SR(SR)10$3.1533.30%$1.05$1.0514.7%
Special Rare(SP)6$110.770.70%$0.78$0.7810.9%
TR(TR)1$74.390.35%$0.26$0.263.6%
L(L)6$0.1650.00%$0.08$0.081.1%
SEC(SEC)2$1.924.17%$0.08$0.081.1%
Total$7.15$7.15100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in 500 Years in the Future, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,000 pack openings (https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($34.72) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($34.72) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
500 Years in the Future Booster Box$294.22$171.60−42%KEEP SEALED
500 Years in the Future Booster Pack$7.52$7.15−5%HOLD
500 Years in the Future Sleeved Booster Pack$34.72$7.15−79%KEEP SEALED

Compare Packs Across Sets

See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other One Piece TCG sets.

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