Rip or Flip
500 Years in the Future Booster Pack

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$6.92

MSRP

$3.99

Spread: +$2.93 (73%) above MSRP

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500 Years in the Future Booster Pack

Average opening value sits near break-even at +$0.10.

1 packs produce $7.02 of average market value at current prices.

Return vs Market

+1%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $6.92.

Expected Gain

+$0.10

The average opening result after paying $6.92 sealed.

Open Average

$7.02

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$4.49

Expected range $4.91-$9.13 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $7.02

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 7 rarity tiers. Based on 1,000 pack openings.

02

$7.02 × 1 packs = $7.02

This product contains 1 booster pack.

03

$7.02 = $7.02

No promo value applied for this product.

04

$7.02 × 0.64 = $4.49

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $7.02 ÷ $6.92 = 101.5%Cash-out: $4.49 ÷ $6.92 = 64.9%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $7.02 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/1pk% of Total
Manga Rare(MR)1$1675.540.17%$2.85$2.8540.6%
Alternate Art(AA)24$25.218.30%$2.09$2.0929.8%
Special Rare(SP)6$123.880.70%$0.87$0.8712.4%
SR(SR)10$2.3133.30%$0.77$0.7711.0%
TR(TR)1$83.360.35%$0.29$0.294.1%
SEC(SEC)2$1.854.17%$0.08$0.081.1%
L(L)6$0.1450.00%$0.07$0.071.0%
Total$7.02$7.02100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in 500 Years in the Future, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,000 pack openings (https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $3.99. Current sealed price ($6.92) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($6.92) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
500 Years in the Future Booster Box$281.65$168.48−40%KEEP SEALED
500 Years in the Future Booster Pack$6.92$7.02+1%HOLD
500 Years in the Future Sleeved Booster Pack$32.84$7.02−79%KEEP SEALED
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