Romance Dawn
Don't rip Romance Dawn right now.
−88%
$3746.92 sealed → $432.48 EV | EV/pack: $18.02
Even the best product loses −$3314.44 on average.
If you must open something: Romance Dawn Booster Box loses the least at −$3314.44.
Best product to check
Romance Dawn Booster Box
MSRP $95.76 • Market price $3746.92 • Return −88%
Set EV History
Recent movement in set-level EV based on current pricing and pull-rate assumptions.
EV Trend
EV per pack and best product return over time.
Best Sealed Products
Browse the current set products sorted by return, price, and market EV.
All 3 Products
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4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Chase Cards
What you could pull from this set, ranked by value.
Shanks (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art)
#OP01-120
MR$1945.99
EV: $3.31
Monkey.D.Luffy (003) (Parallel)
#OP01-003
AA$845.05
EV: $2.70
Roronoa Zoro (001) (Parallel)
#OP01-001
AA$554.45
EV: $1.77
View 7 more chase cards
Trafalgar Law (002) (Parallel)
#OP01-002
AA$463.64
EV: $1.48
Nami (Parallel)
#OP01-016
AA$447.06
EV: $1.43
Donquixote Doflamingo (060) (Parallel)
#OP01-060
AA$290.66
EV: $0.93
Roronoa Zoro (025) (Parallel)
#OP01-025
AA$170.82
EV: $0.55
Kaido (061) (Parallel)
#OP01-061
AA$145.43
EV: $0.46
Boa Hancock (Parallel)
#OP01-078
AA$145.06
EV: $0.46
Monkey.D.Luffy (024) (Parallel)
#OP01-024
AA$144.19
EV: $0.46
Deep Dives
Expandable sections for the EV math, pull-rate tables, and editorial FAQ.
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Range | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternate Art(AA) | 26 | $156.90 | $7.21–$845.05 | 8.30% | $13.02 |
| Manga Rare(MR) | 1 | $1945.99 | $1945.99–$1945.99 | 0.17% | $3.31 |
| SR(SR) | 10 | $2.25 | $0.61–$6.53 | 33.30% | $0.75 |
| L(L) | 8 | $1.28 | $0.28–$4.99 | 50.00% | $0.64 |
| SEC(SEC) | 2 | $7.11 | $6.72–$7.49 | 4.17% | $0.30 |
| Total EV / Pack | $18.02 | ||||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manga Rare(MR) | 0.17% | 1 in 588 | 1,000 |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 8.30% | 1 in 12 | 1,000 |
| L(L) | 50.00% | 1 in 2 | 1,000 |
| SR(SR) | 33.30% | 1 in 3 | 1,000 |
| SEC(SEC) | 4.17% | 1 in 24 | 1,000 |
Sources: https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Romance Dawn worth opening?
- At current market prices, Romance Dawn Booster Box loses $3314.44 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Romance Dawn booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Romance Dawn booster pack is $18.02 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What is the MSRP for Romance Dawn products?
- Romance Dawn Booster Box launched at $95.76 MSRP. Compare that to the current sealed market price of $3746.92 to see how far Romance Dawn pricing has moved from retail.
- What are the best cards to pull in Romance Dawn?
- The most valuable cards in Romance Dawn are Shanks (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art) ($1945.99), Monkey.D.Luffy (003) (Parallel) ($845.05), Roronoa Zoro (001) (Parallel) ($554.45).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Romance Dawn?
- Pull rates are based on 1,000 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
- What is the best Romance Dawn product to buy?
- Based on current EV calculations, Romance Dawn Booster Box offers the best return at −88% (−$3314.44). It contains 24 packs and is priced at $3746.92.
- How often are Romance Dawn prices updated?
- All prices are updated daily at 21:00 UTC using TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV. EV calculations refresh automatically with each price update.
- What is cash-out EV for Romance Dawn?
- Cash-out EV is the expected value after marketplace fees, shipping, and liquidity discounts. We apply a 0.64x multiplier to market EV. For Romance Dawn Booster Box, cash-out EV is $276.79 versus $432.48 market EV.
- How do pull rates work for Romance Dawn?
- Pull rates represent the probability of pulling each rarity tier from a single booster pack. They are based on 1,000 community pack openings. Each rarity tier has a different pull rate — higher rarities are harder to pull but typically more valuable.
As of March 2026, Romance Dawn products lose an average of $1185.31 (−87%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 1,000+ pack openings.