Romance Dawn Pull Rates
See the exact odds for every rarity tier in Romance Dawn, plus how those odds translate into expected value and the chase cards driving each tier.
Rarity tiers
5
Rarest listed odds
1 in 588
Manga Rare
EV per pack
$18.04
Full Pull Rate Table
Complete odds, sample sizes, and confidence context for every rarity tier.
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manga Rare(MR) | 0.17% | 1 in 588 | 1,000 |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 8.30% | 1 in 12 | 1,000 |
| L(L) | 50.00% | 1 in 2 | 1,000 |
| SR(SR) | 33.30% | 1 in 3 | 1,000 |
| SEC(SEC) | 4.17% | 1 in 24 | 1,000 |
Sources: https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards
What This Means
Translate raw percentages into the actual pack-opening experience.
MR
Manga Rare
You'll pull a Manga Rare roughly 1 in 588.
0.17% odds from 1,000 sampled packs
AA
Alternate Art
You'll pull a Alternate Art roughly 1 in 12.
8.30% odds from 1,000 sampled packs
L
L
You'll pull a L roughly 1 in 2.
50.00% odds from 1,000 sampled packs
SR
SR
You'll pull a SR roughly 1 in 3.
33.30% odds from 1,000 sampled packs
Expected Value by Tier
Average card value joined with pull-rate odds to show how each rarity tier contributes to pack EV.
MR
Manga Rare
1 in 588
- Avg card value
- $1945.99
- EV per pack
- $3.31
Top chase: Shanks (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art) at $1945.99.
AA
Alternate Art
1 in 12
- Avg card value
- $157.07
- EV per pack
- $13.04
Top chase: Monkey.D.Luffy (003) (Parallel) at $845.05.
Top Chase Cards by Tier
The cards doing the most work inside each rarity bucket.
MR
Manga Rare
Avg value $1945.99 • 1 in 588
AA
Alternate Art
Avg value $157.07 • 1 in 12
L
L
Avg value $1.28 • 1 in 2
SR
SR
Avg value $2.26 • 1 in 3
SEC
SEC
Avg value $7.31 • 1 in 24
Sources & Methodology
Where the odds come from and how they feed the EV model.
Pull rates are community-sourced estimates from documented pack openings. We pair those odds with live TCGPlayer market prices to calculate average card value and EV per pack for each rarity tier.
- https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition
- https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/
- https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained
- https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards
FAQ
- What are the pull rates for Romance Dawn?
- Romance Dawn pull rates are based on 1,000 documented pack openings and currently carry medium confidence confidence.
- What are the odds of hitting the rarest tier in Romance Dawn?
- Manga Rare lands about 1 in 588 in Romance Dawn, based on 1,000 sampled packs.
- Are Romance Dawn pull rates official?
- No. These rates are community-sourced estimates compiled from large pack-opening samples, then joined with live TCGPlayer prices to show expected value by rarity tier.