Romance Dawn Booster Pack
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $80.21.
1 packs produce $18.02 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−82%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $98.23.
Expected Loss
−$80.21
The average opening result after paying $98.23 sealed.
Open Average
$18.02
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$11.53
Expected range $1.29-$34.75 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $18.02
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,000 pack openings.
$18.02 × 1 packs = $18.02
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$18.02 = $18.02
No promo value applied for this product.
$18.02 × 0.64 = $11.53
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $18.02 ÷ $98.23 = 18.3% • Cash-out: $11.53 ÷ $98.23 = 11.7%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $18.02 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternate Art(AA) | 26 | $156.90 | 8.30% | $13.02 | $13.02 | 72.3% |
| Manga Rare(MR) | 1 | $1945.99 | 0.17% | $3.31 | $3.31 | 18.4% |
| SR(SR) | 10 | $2.25 | 33.30% | $0.75 | $0.75 | 4.2% |
| L(L) | 8 | $1.28 | 50.00% | $0.64 | $0.64 | 3.6% |
| SEC(SEC) | 2 | $7.11 | 4.17% | $0.30 | $0.30 | 1.7% |
| Total | $18.02 | $18.02 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Romance Dawn, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Shanks (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art)
#OP01-120 · MR
1 in 588 packs
$1945.99
+$3.31 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (003) (Parallel)
#OP01-003 · AA
1 in 313 packs
$845.05
+$2.70 EV
Roronoa Zoro (001) (Parallel)
#OP01-001 · AA
1 in 313 packs
$554.45
+$1.77 EV
Trafalgar Law (002) (Parallel)
#OP01-002 · AA
1 in 313 packs
$463.64
+$1.48 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (003)
#OP01-003 · L
1 in 16 packs
$4.99
+$0.31 EV
Roronoa Zoro (025)
#OP01-025 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$6.53
+$0.22 EV
Roronoa Zoro (001)
#OP01-001 · L
1 in 16 packs
$2.63
+$0.16 EV
Shanks
#OP01-120 · SEC
1 in 48 packs
$7.49
+$0.16 EV
Kaido (094)
#OP01-094 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$4.18
+$0.14 EV
Yamato
#OP01-121 · SEC
1 in 48 packs
$6.72
+$0.14 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,000 pack openings (https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $3.99. Current sealed price ($98.23) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($98.23) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romance Dawn Booster Box | $3746.92 | $432.48 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Romance Dawn Booster Pack | $98.23 | $18.02 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| Romance Dawn Sleeved Booster Pack | $179.30 | $18.02 | −90% | KEEP SEALED |