Silver Tempest ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $109.94.
8 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $29.32 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−79%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $139.26.
Expected Loss
−$109.94
The average opening result after paying $139.26 sealed.
Open Average
$29.32
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$18.76
Expected range $0.00-$18.19 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.54
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 718 pack openings.
$3.54 × 8 packs = $28.32
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$28.32 + $1.00 promos = $29.32
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$29.32 × 0.64 = $18.76
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $29.32 ÷ $139.26 = 21.1% • Cash-out: $18.76 ÷ $139.26 = 13.5%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.54 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 48 | $13.27 | 23.40% | $3.10 | $24.80 | 87.6% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 20 | $9.48 | 2.92% | $0.28 | $2.24 | 7.9% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 14 | $0.34 | 25.35% | $0.09 | $0.72 | 2.5% |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $1.20 | 5.57% | $0.07 | $0.56 | 2.0% |
| Total | $3.54 | $28.32 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Silver Tempest, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Lugia V (Alternate Full Art)
#186/195 · UR
1 in 205 packs
$441.06
+$17.20 EV
Unown V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/195 · UR
1 in 205 packs
$22.89
+$0.88 EV
Regidrago V (Alternate Full Art)
#184/195 · UR
1 in 205 packs
$22.19
+$0.88 EV
Lugia VSTAR (Secret) (202)
#202/195 · SR
1 in 685 packs
$35.46
+$0.40 EV
Lugia VSTAR (Secret) (211)
#211/195 · SR
1 in 685 packs
$24.76
+$0.32 EV
Radiant Jirachi
#120/195 · RR
1 in 54 packs
$1.54
+$0.24 EV
Radiant Alakazam
#059/195 · RR
1 in 54 packs
$1.51
+$0.24 EV
Alolan Vulpix VSTAR (Secret)
#197/195 · SR
1 in 685 packs
$21.20
+$0.24 EV
Dragonite
#131/195 · H
1 in 55 packs
$1.05
+$0.16 EV
Crobat
#105/195 · H
1 in 55 packs
$0.43
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 718 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/silver-tempest-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($139.26) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($139.26) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silver Tempest Booster Box | $460.04 | $127.44 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest ETB | $139.26 | $29.32 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest PC ETB | $300.89 | $37.40 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Booster Bundle | $102.05 | $21.24 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest 3 Pack Blister | $41.42 | $11.12 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Build & Battle Box | $48.08 | $21.86 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Sleeved Booster | $59.54 | $3.54 | −94% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Booster Pack | $10.54 | $3.54 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $646.61 | $328.97 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $295.19 | $147.27 | −50% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $155.98 | $76.40 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $227.58 | $110.65 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $161.60 | $67.87 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable ETB | Shrouded Fable | $86.45 | $36.30 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $147.71 | $61.50 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | Ascended Heroes | $480.58 | $189.48 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |