Silver Tempest ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $99.09.
8 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $25.08 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−80%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $124.17.
Expected Loss
−$99.09
The average opening result after paying $124.17 sealed.
Open Average
$25.08
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$16.05
Expected range $0.00-$14.97 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.01
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 718 pack openings.
$3.01 × 8 packs = $24.08
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$24.08 + $1.00 promos = $25.08
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$25.08 × 0.64 = $16.05
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $25.08 ÷ $124.17 = 20.2% • Cash-out: $16.05 ÷ $124.17 = 12.9%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.01 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 48 | $11.19 | 23.40% | $2.62 | $20.96 | 87.0% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 20 | $8.76 | 2.92% | $0.26 | $2.08 | 8.6% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 14 | $0.31 | 25.35% | $0.08 | $0.64 | 2.7% |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $0.92 | 5.57% | $0.05 | $0.40 | 1.7% |
| Total | $3.01 | $24.08 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Silver Tempest, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Lugia V (Alternate Full Art)
#186/195 · UR
1 in 205 packs
$360.35
+$14.08 EV
Unown V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/195 · UR
1 in 205 packs
$19.95
+$0.80 EV
Regidrago V (Alternate Full Art)
#184/195 · UR
1 in 205 packs
$18.64
+$0.72 EV
Lugia VSTAR (Secret) (202)
#202/195 · SR
1 in 685 packs
$35.04
+$0.40 EV
Lugia VSTAR (Secret) (211)
#211/195 · SR
1 in 685 packs
$20.24
+$0.24 EV
Alolan Vulpix VSTAR (Secret)
#197/195 · SR
1 in 685 packs
$19.64
+$0.24 EV
Dragonite
#131/195 · H
1 in 55 packs
$0.85
+$0.16 EV
Radiant Alakazam
#059/195 · RR
1 in 54 packs
$1.16
+$0.16 EV
Radiant Jirachi
#120/195 · RR
1 in 54 packs
$1.15
+$0.16 EV
Crobat
#105/195 · H
1 in 55 packs
$0.41
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 718 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/silver-tempest-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($124.17) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($124.17) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silver Tempest Booster Box | $471.11 | $108.36 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest ETB | $124.17 | $25.08 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest PC ETB | $266.96 | $32.10 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Booster Bundle | $70.50 | $18.06 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest 3 Pack Blister | $49.05 | $9.53 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Build & Battle Box | $45.14 | $18.85 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Sleeved Booster | $58.37 | $3.01 | −95% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Booster Pack | $10.85 | $3.01 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |