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High Confidence8,000 packs sampledUpdated 2026-02-24

Paradox Rift Pull Rates

See the exact odds for every rarity tier in Paradox Rift, plus how those odds translate into expected value and the chase cards driving each tier.

Rarity tiers

5

Rarest listed odds

1 in 83

Hyper Rare

EV per pack

$1.72

Full Pull Rate Table

Complete odds, sample sizes, and confidence context for every rarity tier.

High Confidence8,000 packs sampled
Double Rare(RR)14.30%
Odds: 1 in 7
Sample: 8,000
Illustration Rare(IR)7.70%
Odds: 1 in 13
Sample: 8,000
Ultra Rare(UR)6.70%
Odds: 1 in 15
Sample: 8,000
Special Illustration Rare(SIR)1.90%
Odds: 1 in 53
Sample: 8,000
Hyper Rare(HR)1.20%
Odds: 1 in 83
Sample: 8,000

Sources: https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paradox-Rift-Pull-Rates/0b5fb648-38fc-4f61-a6af-57c2737b4a48/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paradox-rift-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/18/paradox-rift-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/

What This Means

Translate raw percentages into the actual pack-opening experience.

RR

Double Rare

You'll pull a Double Rare roughly 1 in 7.

14.30% odds from 8,000 sampled packs

IR

Illustration Rare

You'll pull a Illustration Rare roughly 1 in 13.

7.70% odds from 8,000 sampled packs

UR

Ultra Rare

You'll pull a Ultra Rare roughly 1 in 15.

6.70% odds from 8,000 sampled packs

SIR

Special Illustration Rare

You'll pull a Special Illustration Rare roughly 1 in 53.

1.90% odds from 8,000 sampled packs

Expected Value by Tier

Average card value joined with pull-rate odds to show how each rarity tier contributes to pack EV.

RR

Double Rare

1 in 7

Avg card value
$0.84
EV per pack
$0.12

Top chase: Gholdengo ex - 139/182 at $2.76.

IR

Illustration Rare

1 in 13

Avg card value
$13.60
EV per pack
$1.05

Top chase: Groudon - 199/182 at $80.02.

UR

Ultra Rare

1 in 15

Avg card value
$2.72
EV per pack
$0.18

Top chase: Maushold ex - 233/182 at $10.22.

SIR

Special Illustration Rare

1 in 53

Avg card value
$16.44
EV per pack
$0.31

Top chase: Altaria ex - 253/182 at $43.74.

HR

Hyper Rare

1 in 83

Avg card value
$5.05
EV per pack
$0.06

Top chase: Garchomp ex - 260/182 at $12.38.

Top Chase Cards by Tier

The cards doing the most work inside each rarity bucket.

Sources & Methodology

Where the odds come from and how they feed the EV model.

Pull rates are community-sourced estimates from documented pack openings. We pair those odds with live TCGPlayer market prices to calculate average card value and EV per pack for each rarity tier.

FAQ

What are the pull rates for Paradox Rift?
Paradox Rift pull rates are based on 8,000 documented pack openings and currently carry high confidence confidence.
What are the odds of hitting the rarest tier in Paradox Rift?
Hyper Rare lands about 1 in 83 in Paradox Rift, based on 8,000 sampled packs.
Are Paradox Rift pull rates official?
No. These rates are community-sourced estimates compiled from large pack-opening samples, then joined with live TCGPlayer prices to show expected value by rarity tier.