Scarlet & Violet Pull Rates
See the exact odds for every rarity tier in Scarlet & Violet, plus how those odds translate into expected value and the chase cards driving each tier.
Rarity tiers
5
Rarest listed odds
1 in 53
Hyper Rare
EV per pack
$1.96
Full Pull Rate Table
Complete odds, sample sizes, and confidence context for every rarity tier.
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare(RR) | 14.30% | 1 in 7 | 8,000 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 7.70% | 1 in 13 | 8,000 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 6.70% | 1 in 15 | 8,000 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 3.10% | 1 in 32 | 8,000 |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 1.90% | 1 in 53 | 8,000 |
Sources: https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-Pull-Rates/a7702fce-dd64-4a58-beb1-0f871c853215/, https://www.digitaltq.com/scarlet-violet-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://cardshoplive.com/pages/hit-rates-for-pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet
What This Means
Translate raw percentages into the actual pack-opening experience.
RR
Double Rare
You'll pull a Double Rare roughly 1 in 7.
14.30% odds from 8,000 sampled packs
IR
Illustration Rare
You'll pull a Illustration Rare roughly 1 in 13.
7.70% odds from 8,000 sampled packs
UR
Ultra Rare
You'll pull a Ultra Rare roughly 1 in 15.
6.70% odds from 8,000 sampled packs
SIR
Special Illustration Rare
You'll pull a Special Illustration Rare roughly 1 in 32.
3.10% odds from 8,000 sampled packs
Expected Value by Tier
Average card value joined with pull-rate odds to show how each rarity tier contributes to pack EV.
IR
Illustration Rare
1 in 13
- Avg card value
- $13.22
- EV per pack
- $1.02
Top chase: Drowzee - 210/198 at $38.69.
SIR
Special Illustration Rare
1 in 32
- Avg card value
- $16.79
- EV per pack
- $0.52
Top chase: Gardevoir ex - 245/198 at $72.18.
HR
Hyper Rare
1 in 53
- Avg card value
- $5.84
- EV per pack
- $0.11
Top chase: Basic Fighting Energy - 258/198 at $8.31.
Top Chase Cards by Tier
The cards doing the most work inside each rarity bucket.
RR
Double Rare
Avg value $0.68 • 1 in 7
IR
Illustration Rare
Avg value $13.22 • 1 in 13
UR
Ultra Rare
Avg value $3.12 • 1 in 15
SIR
Special Illustration Rare
Avg value $16.79 • 1 in 32
Sources & Methodology
Where the odds come from and how they feed the EV model.
Pull rates are community-sourced estimates from documented pack openings. We pair those odds with live TCGPlayer market prices to calculate average card value and EV per pack for each rarity tier.
FAQ
- What are the pull rates for Scarlet & Violet?
- Scarlet & Violet pull rates are based on 8,000 documented pack openings and currently carry high confidence confidence.
- What are the odds of hitting the rarest tier in Scarlet & Violet?
- Hyper Rare lands about 1 in 53 in Scarlet & Violet, based on 8,000 sampled packs.
- Are Scarlet & Violet pull rates official?
- No. These rates are community-sourced estimates compiled from large pack-opening samples, then joined with live TCGPlayer prices to show expected value by rarity tier.