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High Confidence2,000 packs sampledUpdated 2026-02-26

Ascended Heroes Pull Rates

See the exact odds for every rarity tier in Ascended Heroes, plus how those odds translate into expected value and the chase cards driving each tier.

Rarity tiers

6

Rarest listed odds

1 in 526

Mega Hyper Rare

EV per pack

$6.34

Full Pull Rate Table

Complete odds, sample sizes, and confidence context for every rarity tier.

High Confidence2,000 packs sampled
Double Rare(RR)20.37%
Odds: 1 in 5
Sample: 2,000
Illustration Rare(IR)11.25%
Odds: 1 in 9
Sample: 2,000
Ultra Rare(UR)4.81%
Odds: 1 in 21
Sample: 2,000
Mega Attack Rare(MAR)3.47%
Odds: 1 in 29
Sample: 2,000
Special Illustration Rare(SIR)1.44%
Odds: 1 in 69
Sample: 2,000
Mega Hyper Rare(MHR)0.19%
Odds: 1 in 526
Sample: 2,000

Sources: https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pok%C3%A9mon-TCG-Ascended-Heroes-Pull-Rates/60143d94-88a7-42ce-8e73-babd7b3fabd6/, https://www.pokebeach.com/2026/02/ascended-heroes-pull-rates-finally-determined-better-than-usual, https://www.thepricedex.com/set/me2pt5/ascended-heroes/pull-rates

What This Means

Translate raw percentages into the actual pack-opening experience.

RR

Double Rare

You'll pull a Double Rare roughly 1 in 5.

20.37% odds from 2,000 sampled packs

IR

Illustration Rare

You'll pull a Illustration Rare roughly 1 in 9.

11.25% odds from 2,000 sampled packs

UR

Ultra Rare

You'll pull a Ultra Rare roughly 1 in 21.

4.81% odds from 2,000 sampled packs

MAR

Mega Attack Rare

You'll pull a Mega Attack Rare roughly 1 in 29.

3.47% odds from 2,000 sampled packs

Expected Value by Tier

Average card value joined with pull-rate odds to show how each rarity tier contributes to pack EV.

RR

Double Rare

1 in 5

Avg card value
$1.84
EV per pack
$0.37

Top chase: Mega Dragonite ex - 152/217 at $10.81.

IR

Illustration Rare

1 in 9

Avg card value
$12.05
EV per pack
$1.36

Top chase: Psyduck - 226/217 at $71.53.

UR

Ultra Rare

1 in 21

Avg card value
$5.12
EV per pack
$0.25

Top chase: Boss's Orders [Corbeau] - 256/217 at $16.23.

MAR

Mega Attack Rare

1 in 29

Avg card value
$24.20
EV per pack
$0.84

Top chase: Mega Gengar ex - 269/217 at $65.41.

SIR

Special Illustration Rare

1 in 69

Avg card value
$190.27
EV per pack
$2.74

Top chase: Mega Gengar ex - 284/217 at $1020.45.

MHR

Mega Hyper Rare

1 in 526

Avg card value
$411.62
EV per pack
$0.78

Top chase: Mega Charizard Y ex - 294/217 at $495.95.

Top Chase Cards by Tier

The cards doing the most work inside each rarity bucket.

Sources & Methodology

Where the odds come from and how they feed the EV model.

Pull rates are community-sourced estimates from documented pack openings. We pair those odds with live TCGPlayer market prices to calculate average card value and EV per pack for each rarity tier.

FAQ

What are the pull rates for Ascended Heroes?
Ascended Heroes pull rates are based on 2,000 documented pack openings and currently carry high confidence confidence.
What are the odds of hitting the rarest tier in Ascended Heroes?
Mega Hyper Rare lands about 1 in 526 in Ascended Heroes, based on 2,000 sampled packs.
Are Ascended Heroes pull rates official?
No. These rates are community-sourced estimates compiled from large pack-opening samples, then joined with live TCGPlayer prices to show expected value by rarity tier.