
Sword & Shield Pull Rates
See the exact odds for every rarity tier in Sword & Shield, plus how those odds translate into expected value and the chase cards driving each tier.
Rarity tiers
3
Rarest listed odds
1 in 42
Secret Rare
EV per pack
$1.50
Full Pull Rate Table
Complete odds, sample sizes, and confidence context for every rarity tier.
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare(H) | 22.00% | 1 in 5 | 630 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 19.50% | 1 in 5 | 630 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 2.40% | 1 in 42 | 630 |
Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/
What This Means
Translate raw percentages into the actual pack-opening experience.
H
Holo Rare
You'll pull a Holo Rare roughly 1 in 5.
22.00% odds from 630 sampled packs
UR
Ultra Rare
You'll pull a Ultra Rare roughly 1 in 5.
19.50% odds from 630 sampled packs
SR
Secret Rare
You'll pull a Secret Rare roughly 1 in 42.
2.40% odds from 630 sampled packs
Expected Value by Tier
Average card value joined with pull-rate odds to show how each rarity tier contributes to pack EV.
Top Chase Cards by Tier
The cards doing the most work inside each rarity bucket.
H
Holo Rare
Avg value $0.79 • 1 in 5
UR
Ultra Rare
Avg value $5.01 • 1 in 5
SR
Secret Rare
Avg value $14.69 • 1 in 42
Sources & Methodology
Where the odds come from and how they feed the EV model.
Pull rates are community-sourced estimates from documented pack openings. We pair those odds with live TCGPlayer market prices to calculate average card value and EV per pack for each rarity tier.
FAQ
- What are the pull rates for Sword & Shield?
- Sword & Shield pull rates are based on 630 documented pack openings and currently carry medium confidence confidence.
- What are the odds of hitting the rarest tier in Sword & Shield?
- Secret Rare lands about 1 in 42 in Sword & Shield, based on 630 sampled packs.
- Are Sword & Shield pull rates official?
- No. These rates are community-sourced estimates compiled from large pack-opening samples, then joined with live TCGPlayer prices to show expected value by rarity tier.








