Rip or Flip
Evolving Skies logo
Medium Confidence630 packs sampledUpdated 2026-02-24

Evolving Skies Pull Rates

See the exact odds for every rarity tier in Evolving Skies, plus how those odds translate into expected value and the chase cards driving each tier.

Rarity tiers

3

Rarest listed odds

1 in 42

Secret Rare

EV per pack

$8.32

Full Pull Rate Table

Complete odds, sample sizes, and confidence context for every rarity tier.

Medium Confidence630 packs sampled
Holo Rare(H)22.00%
Odds: 1 in 5
Sample: 630
Ultra Rare(UR)19.00%
Odds: 1 in 5
Sample: 630
Secret Rare(SR)2.40%
Odds: 1 in 42
Sample: 630

Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/evolving-skies-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/

What This Means

Translate raw percentages into the actual pack-opening experience.

H

Holo Rare

You'll pull a Holo Rare roughly 1 in 5.

22.00% odds from 630 sampled packs

UR

Ultra Rare

You'll pull a Ultra Rare roughly 1 in 5.

19.00% odds from 630 sampled packs

SR

Secret Rare

You'll pull a Secret Rare roughly 1 in 42.

2.40% odds from 630 sampled packs

Expected Value by Tier

Average card value joined with pull-rate odds to show how each rarity tier contributes to pack EV.

H

Holo Rare

1 in 5

Avg card value
$0.30
EV per pack
$0.07

Top chase: Salamence at $0.44.

UR

Ultra Rare

1 in 5

Avg card value
$29.45
EV per pack
$5.60

Top chase: Dragonite V (Alternate Full Art) at $360.33.

SR

Secret Rare

1 in 42

Avg card value
$110.41
EV per pack
$2.65

Top chase: Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) at $1747.16.

Top Chase Cards by Tier

The cards doing the most work inside each rarity bucket.

Sources & Methodology

Where the odds come from and how they feed the EV model.

Pull rates are community-sourced estimates from documented pack openings. We pair those odds with live TCGPlayer market prices to calculate average card value and EV per pack for each rarity tier.

FAQ

What are the pull rates for Evolving Skies?
Evolving Skies pull rates are based on 630 documented pack openings and currently carry medium confidence confidence.
What are the odds of hitting the rarest tier in Evolving Skies?
Secret Rare lands about 1 in 42 in Evolving Skies, based on 630 sampled packs.
Are Evolving Skies pull rates official?
No. These rates are community-sourced estimates compiled from large pack-opening samples, then joined with live TCGPlayer prices to show expected value by rarity tier.