Rip or Flip
Wings of the Captain Sleeved Booster Pack

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$21.86

MSRP

$4.49

Spread: +$17.37 (387%) above MSRP

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KEEP SEALEDWings of the Captain1 pack

Wings of the Captain Sleeved Booster Pack

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $13.02.

1 packs produce $8.84 of average market value at current prices.

Return vs Market

−60%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $21.86.

Expected Loss

−$13.02

The average opening result after paying $21.86 sealed.

Open Average

$8.84

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$5.66

Expected range $6.28-$11.40 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $8.84

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 7 rarity tiers. Based on 1,000 pack openings.

02

$8.84 × 1 packs = $8.84

This product contains 1 booster pack.

03

$8.84 = $8.84

No promo value applied for this product.

04

$8.84 × 0.64 = $5.66

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $8.84 ÷ $21.86 = 40.4%Cash-out: $5.66 ÷ $21.86 = 25.9%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $8.84 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/1pk% of Total
Manga Rare(MR)1$1875.750.17%$3.19$3.1936.1%
Alternate Art(AA)24$27.128.30%$2.25$2.2525.5%
Special Rare(SP)6$148.580.70%$1.04$1.0411.8%
SR(SR)10$2.8233.30%$0.94$0.9410.6%
TR(TR)1$265.350.35%$0.93$0.9310.5%
SEC(SEC)2$9.744.17%$0.41$0.414.6%
L(L)6$0.1750.00%$0.08$0.080.9%
Total$8.84$8.84100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Wings of the Captain, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,000 pack openings (https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($21.86) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($21.86) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Wings of the Captain Booster Box$294.18$212.16−28%KEEP SEALED
Wings of the Captain Booster Pack$9.00$8.84−2%HOLD
Wings of the Captain Sleeved Booster Pack$21.86$8.84−60%KEEP SEALED
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