Awakening of the New Era Booster Pack
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $19.20.
1 packs produce $12.35 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−61%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $31.55.
Expected Loss
−$19.20
The average opening result after paying $31.55 sealed.
Open Average
$12.35
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$7.90
Expected range $8.52-$16.18 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $12.35
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 7 rarity tiers. Based on 1,000 pack openings.
$12.35 × 1 packs = $12.35
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$12.35 = $12.35
No promo value applied for this product.
$12.35 × 0.64 = $7.90
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $12.35 ÷ $31.55 = 39.1% • Cash-out: $7.90 ÷ $31.55 = 25.0%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $12.35 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold-Stamped Signature(GSS) | 1 | $4435.99 | 0.10% | $4.44 | $4.44 | 36.0% |
| Manga Rare(MR) | 3 | $1966.23 | 0.17% | $3.34 | $3.34 | 27.0% |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 25 | $23.87 | 8.30% | $1.98 | $1.98 | 16.0% |
| Special Rare(SP) | 6 | $273.14 | 0.70% | $1.91 | $1.91 | 15.5% |
| SEC(SEC) | 2 | $8.68 | 4.17% | $0.36 | $0.36 | 2.9% |
| SR(SR) | 10 | $0.65 | 33.30% | $0.22 | $0.22 | 1.8% |
| L(L) | 6 | $0.19 | 50.00% | $0.10 | $0.10 | 0.8% |
| Total | $12.35 | $12.35 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Awakening of the New Era, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Monkey.D.Luffy (012) (Alternate Art) (Gold-Stamped Signature)
#ST01-012 · GSS
1 in 1000 packs
$4435.99
+$4.44 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (119) (Alternate Art) (Manga)
#OP05-119 · MR
1 in 1765 packs
$4165.22
+$2.36 EV
Nami (SP)
#OP01-016 · SP
1 in 857 packs
$605.77
+$0.71 EV
Trafalgar Law (069) (Alternate Art) (Manga)
#OP05-069 · MR
1 in 1765 packs
$1104.18
+$0.63 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (119) (Alternate Art)
#OP05-119 · AA
1 in 301 packs
$149.72
+$0.50 EV
Eustass"Captain"Kid (Alternate Art) (Manga)
#OP05-074 · MR
1 in 1765 packs
$629.28
+$0.36 EV
Uta (SP)
#OP02-120 · SP
1 in 857 packs
$284.75
+$0.33 EV
Yamato (SP)
#OP01-121 · SP
1 in 857 packs
$244.49
+$0.29 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (119)
#OP05-119 · SEC
1 in 48 packs
$12.22
+$0.25 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (060) (Alternate Art)
#OP05-060 · AA
1 in 301 packs
$68.91
+$0.23 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,000 pack openings (https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $3.99. Current sealed price ($31.55) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($31.55) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awakening of the New Era Booster Box | $1011.55 | $296.40 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Awakening of the New Era Booster Pack | $31.55 | $12.35 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Awakening of the New Era Sleeved Booster Pack | $68.80 | $12.35 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |